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The Pamphlet Collection of Sir Robert Stout: Volume 8

III. Life Assurance

page 14

III. Life Assurance.

15. A contract to secure a sum of money payable on the death of a person is called a life assurance.

16. To find the value of an endowment assurance of £1, payable at the end of n years if x shall die in the nth year.

Let dx=lx1/x denote the number of persons dying between the ages x and x+1, or in the 1st year,... n−1dx=n−1lxnlx, the number dying between the ages x+n−1 and x+n, or in the nth year; then, by Art. 1, the probability of a person whose age is x dying in the nth year is Mathematical equation, and, by Art. 10, the present value of £1 payable at the end of n years if x shall die in the nth year is Mathematical equation

Example 1. Value of an endowment assurance of £10, payable at the end of 7 years if a person now aged 30 shall die on his 37th year, at 3 per cent., according to the Manchester Unity Table of Mortality for 1866-70.

Mathematical equation

In formula (1) the numerator of the fraction is the present value of the number of pounds falling due at the end of n years, and the denominator the number now living to contribute equally the present fund.

If (1) be transformed by multiplying both numerator and denominator by tx, by which the value of the fraction is not altered, it becomes Mathematical equation page 15 which is a more convenient formula for constructing tables of the values of assurances (presently to be explained) than formula (1).

The number in column C of Table IV., opposite each age, is the product of the number dying in the year following that age into the present value of £1 due as many years hence as are equal to that age increased by unity, so that in (2) the numerator of the fraction is equal to Cx+n−1 and the denominator to Dx. Hence the formula becomes finally Mathematical equation

By means of columns C and D we are now enabled to compute the values of endowment assurances by simple division.

For example, as above: Value of an endowment assurance of £10, payable at the end of seven years if a person now aged 30 shall die in his 87th year, at 3 per cent.

Mathematical equation

17. To find, the value of an assurance of £1, payable at the end of the year in which x shall die.

The value of the assurance is the sum of the present values of £1 payable at the end of 1, 2, 3,... years, to the last tabular age, if x shall die in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd,... years.

Let Ax denote the present value of an assurance of £1, payable at the end of the year in which x shall die; then, by Art. 16,

Mathematical equation

In formula (4) the numerator of the fraction is the sum of the present values of the number of pounds falling due at the end of 1, 2, 3,... years, to the last tabular age, and the denominator the number now living to contribute equally the present fund.

page 16

If (4) be transformed by multiplying both numerator and denominator by vx, by which the value of the fraction is not altered, the equation becomes Mathematical equation

The number in column M of Table IV., opposite each age, is the sum of the numbers in column C opposite that and all the older ages;* thus

Mx=Cx+ Cx+1+Cx+2+...to the last tabular age;

Mx=Cx+Mx+1;

Mathematical equation

Example 2. Value of an assurance of £1 on the life aged 30.

Mathematical equation

18. To find the annual premium for an assurance of £1, payable at the end of the year in which x shall die.

If the annual premium completed at the end of the year be £1, the present value of it, at yearly interest, will be ax, the value of an annuity of £1 on the life x.

Let PxAx. denote the annual premium for an assurance of £1 on the life x; then the value of an annuity of £1 on the life x is to £1 as the value of an assurance of £1 on the life x is to its annual premium, or

Mathematical equation

Example 3. Annual premium for an assurance of £1 on the life aged 30.

Mathematical equation

page 17

Table IV. Preparatory Table for finding the Values of Assurance, according to the Manchester Unity Table of Mortality for 1866-70. Interest 3 per Cent.

Age. Cx Mx Age. cx Mx 18 319.36 18991.35 60 307.23 6721.48 19 320.27 18671.99 61 312.68 6414.25 62 315.65 6101.57 20 320.66 18351.72 63 316.27 5785.92 21 320.58 18031.06 64 314.71 5469.65 22 319.83 17710.48 23 318.54 17390.65 65 311.18 5154.94 24 316.68 17072.11 66 305.81 4843.76 67 303.00 4537.95 25 314.39 16755.43 68 301.73 4234.95 26 311.59 16441.04 69 301.09 3933.22 27 308.14 16129.45 28 301.09 15821.31 70 300.17 3632.13 29 299.56 15517.22 71 298.38 3331.96 72 290.19 3033.58 30 294.53 15217.66 73 283.56 2743.39 31 289.07 14923.13 74 271.33 2459.83 32 285.24 14634.06 33 282.92 14348.82 75 256.62 2188.50 34 281.86 14065.90 76 240.01 1931.88 77 22301 1691.87 35 281.95 13784.04 78 205.61 1468.86 36 282.97 13502.09 79 187.91 1263.25 37 283.53 13219.12 38 283.35 12935.59 80 170.06 1075.34 39 282.82 12652.24 81 15217 905.28 82 134.66 753.11 40 281.78 12369.42 83 117.70 618.45 41 280.31 12087.64 84 101.90 500.75 42 278.85 11807.33 43 277.38 11528.48 85 86.040 398.853 44 275.89 11251.10 86 71.827 312.813 87 58.766 240.986 45 274.32 10975.21 88 47.100 182.220 46 272.69 10700.89 89 36.956 135.120 47 272.42 10428.20 48 273.32 10155.78 90 28.379 98.164 49 275 .12 9882.46 91 21.300 69.785 92 15.629 48.485 50 277.65 9607.34 93 11.200 32.856 280.70 9329.69 94 7.8284 21.6564 51 283.44 9048.99 53 285.79 8765.55 95 5.3201 13.8280 54 287.71 8479.76 96 3.5156 8.5079 97 2.2541 4.9923 55 289.15 8192.05 98 1.3995 2.7382 56 290.02 7902.90 99 .84106 1.33866 57 292.76 7612.88 58 296.84 732012 100 .49760 .49760 59 301.80 7023.28

page 18

Table V. Value of an Assurance of £1, according to the Manchester Unity Table of Mortality for 1866-70. Interest 3 per Cent.

Age. Single Premium. Annual Premium. Age. Single Premium. Annual Premium. £ £ £ £ 18 .32332 .01454 60 .67762 .06730 19 .32926 .01495 61 .08800 .07083 62 .09820 .07458 20 .33526 .01536 63 .70831 .07856 21 .34135 .01579 64 .71832 .08283 22 .34751 .01624 23 .35376 .01070 65 .72829 .08744 24 .36010 .01717 66 .73830 .09245 67 .74837 .09794 25 .36654 .01766 68 .75837 .10393 26 .37310 .01818 69 .76822 .11040 27 .37978 .01871 28 .38658 .01927 70 .77781 .11733 29 .39354 .01985 71 .78705 .12468 72 .79582 .13240 30 .40065 .02016 73 .80432 .14068 31 .40794 .02111 74 .81239 .14932 32 .41542 .02178 33 .42307 .02249 75 .82015 .15853 34 .43087 02324 76 .82768 .16841 77 .83504 .17913 35 .43880 .02402 78 .84219 .19074 36 .44685 .02484 79 .81913 .20331 37 .45500 .02569 38 .46326 .02658 80 .85562 .21696 39 .47164 .02751 81 .86201 .23175 82 .80824 .24782 40 .48014 .02850 83 .87418 .20527 41 .48878 .02953 84 .87974 .28416 42 .49759 .03062 43 .50655 .03177 85 .88492 .30412 44 .51566 .03299 86 .88976 .32586 87 .89420 .34903 45 .52493 .03428 88 .89808 .37875 46 .53440 03566 89 .90146 .40017 47 .54401 .03712 48 .55381 .03867 90 .90390 .42855 49 .56371 .04033 91 .90503 .45910 92 .90589 .49233 50 .57374 .04208 93 .90393 .52880 51 .58387 .04394 94 .89838 .56950 52 .59404 .04591 53 .60427 .04800 95 .88852 .61555 54 .61456 .05023 90 .80992 .67074 97 .83022 .74354 55 .62497 .05261 98 .77506 .86672 56 .63538 .05516 99 .05730 1.1694 57 .64598 .05790 58 .65657 .06084 59 .66717 .06397

* The method employed in the construction of the columns C and M of Table IV. is described in the Appendix.