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Salient: Victoria University Students' Paper. Vol. 27, No. 14. 1964.

Johnson Victory 'Probable'

Johnson Victory 'Probable'

THE spirit of pugnacious individuality and the tradition of freedom from intervention by the government, ideals established hy the American founding fathers, were represented by Republican candidate Barry Goldwater. Mr. Marshal Raficl. American lecturer in political science at Victoria, propounded in a talk on "Mow the Civil Rights issue will affect the forthcoming presidential elections"

Gold water's considerable appeal, coupled with his attitude to the Civil Rights issue, would be a key factor in deciding the outcome of the November elections, he said.

In June Senator Gold water had voted against the Civil Rights Bill His prestige in the South, already high had risen even higher. The South might vote for Goldwater.

President Johnson, himself a Southerner, was in a sense a trailor to the cause, for he had pushed through the Civil Rights Bill.

The fact that the South was traditionally democratic might be a thing of the past, said Mr Raffel. The "white backlash." or growing anti-Negro feeling was hard to estimate, but it was known to be considerable.

"Every Civil Riuhts demonstration from which violence results increases the votes for Goldwater." he said.

The decision would, however, be a decision for individual minds in the privacy of the polling booth There would be a swine on both sides. Many Republicans would vote for Johnson out of fear of Goldwater. In Mr Raffel's opinion a victory for Johnson is "probable, but by no means certain.